{"id":91233,"date":"2025-11-20T13:27:40","date_gmt":"2025-11-20T10:27:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=91233"},"modified":"2025-11-20T13:30:22","modified_gmt":"2025-11-20T10:30:22","slug":"analysts-warn-of-bitcoins-potential-drop-to-60000-due-to-fed-policy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/analysts-warn-of-bitcoins-potential-drop-to-60000-due-to-fed-policy\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysts Warn of Bitcoin&#8217;s Potential Drop to $60,000 Due to Fed Policy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Digital gold may remain &#8220;stuck&#8221; in the $60,000-$80,000 range until the end of the year if the <span data-descr=\"Federal Reserve System of the USA\" class=\"old_tooltip\">Fed<\/span> refrains from cutting the key rate in December. This conclusion was reached by analysts at XWIN Research.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin Range Outlook if the Fed Does Not Cut Rates in December<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf the Fed does not cut in December, Bitcoin likely trades between 60,000 and 80,000 dollars into year-end.\u201d \u2013 By <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/xwinfinance?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@xwinfinance<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/u4gNtzIrhM\">pic.twitter.com\/u4gNtzIrhM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/cryptoquant_com\/status\/1991418259284091220?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 20, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Experts have described the upcoming regulator meeting as one of the most uncertain in recent years. Due to the recent <a href=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/news\/elephant-versus-donkey-americas-longest-shutdown\">shutdown<\/a>, the US government was unable to publish labor market reports, depriving the Fed of comprehensive data for decision-making. Against this backdrop, expectations for rate cuts have weakened, and there is no consensus among the officials themselves.<\/p>\n<p>Maintaining the rate at its current level would mean low market liquidity and low interest in risky assets. During periods of <a href=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/news\/how-the-feds-policy-rate-affects-cryptocurrency-prices\">tight monetary policy<\/a>, investors typically use leverage less actively.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, cryptocurrency exchanges have accumulated record reserves of <a href=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/news\/what-are-stablecoins\">stablecoins<\/a> amounting to $72 billion. Analysts noted that a similar situation preceded all major rallies of the leading cryptocurrency in 2025. This indicates the presence of pent-up demand.<\/p>\n<p>Thus, the potential for price decline is limited by the vast volume of &#8220;stable coins&#8221; ready for purchase. However, further growth is constrained by the macroeconomic situation, which prevents this capital from entering the market, concluded XWIN Research.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What About Ethereum?<\/h2>\n<p>The price of Ethereum tested a key support level around $2800. Historically, this mark has served as the bottom of market cycles, signaling potential recovery. This was highlighted by an analyst under the pseudonym MAC_D46035.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">ETH $2.8K as a Key On-Chain Support Level, Signals Potential Rebound<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHistorically, realized price levels have often marked cycle bottoms, suggesting that this range could once again provide a foundation for a short-term rebound.\u201d \u2013 By <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MAC_D46035?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@MAC_D46035<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/vF2JUnJggE\">pic.twitter.com\/vF2JUnJggE<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/cryptoquant_com\/status\/1991436515080302700?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 20, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>According to him, the realized price often serves as support.<\/p>\n<p>At the time of writing, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is trading around $3000.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"630\" src=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-edf20c739c30f307-10026990872298017-1024x630.png\" alt=\"ETHUSDT_2025-11-20_12-48-21\" class=\"wp-image-270111\" srcset=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-edf20c739c30f307-10026990872298017-1024x630.png 1024w, https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-edf20c739c30f307-10026990872298017-300x184.png 300w, https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-edf20c739c30f307-10026990872298017-768x472.png 768w, https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-edf20c739c30f307-10026990872298017.png 1428w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">15-minute ETH\/USDT chart on Binance. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/chart\/?symbol=BINANCE%3AETHUSDT\">TradingView<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>In November, analysts at Glassnode <a href=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/news\/glassnode-identifies-key-level-signaling-bear-market-phase\">stated<\/a> that the risk of the market entering a bearish phase would arise if the price of the leading cryptocurrency consolidates below key on-chain indicators.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Digital gold may remain &#8220;stuck&#8221; in the $60,000-$80,000 range until the end of the year if the Fed refrains from cutting the key rate in December.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":91234,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"Bitcoin may remain in the $60,000-$80,000 range if the Fed doesn't cut rates.","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[18,1205,1145,26],"class_list":["post-91233","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-bitcoin","tag-cryptoquant","tag-market-analysis","tag-usa"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"219","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"Bitcoin may remain in the $60,000-$80,000 range if the Fed doesn't cut rates.","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91233","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=91233"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91233\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":91235,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91233\/revisions\/91235"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/91234"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=91233"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=91233"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=91233"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}