{"id":89407,"date":"2025-09-30T13:02:42","date_gmt":"2025-09-30T10:02:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=89407"},"modified":"2025-09-30T13:06:07","modified_gmt":"2025-09-30T10:06:07","slug":"analysts-predict-uptober-despite-market-fear-signals","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/analysts-predict-uptober-despite-market-fear-signals\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysts Predict &#8216;Uptober&#8217; Despite Market Fear Signals"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/news\/what-is-cryptos-fear-and-greed-index\">The Fear and Greed Index<\/a> fell to 28 points, marking its lowest level since March 2025. This decline coincided with a brief dip in Bitcoin below $110,000.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Fear returns to the market \ud83d\ude28<\/p>\n<p>The Crypto Fear &#038; Greed Index just dropped to 28\u2014its lowest level in 6 months. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/J4tcC3DvP5\">pic.twitter.com\/J4tcC3DvP5<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Maartunn (@JA_Maartun) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JA_Maartun\/status\/1972602770990805107?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 29, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Despite this, analysts see signs of a market bottom forming and anticipate growth in October.<\/p>\n<p>According to CryptoQuant analyst JA Maarturn, investor sentiment has worsened from a neutral 40 points in August to &#8220;extreme fear.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Against this backdrop, Bitcoin and Ethereum fell below the psychological thresholds of $110,000 and $4,000 respectively last week. However, the decline was short-lived\u2014at the time of writing, Bitcoin&#8217;s price had recovered to $113,311, and Ether was trading above $4,100, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coingecko.com\/\">CoinGecko<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Signs of a Bottom?<\/h2>\n<p>Asset management firm Bitwise <a href=\"https:\/\/bitwiseinvestments.eu\/blog\/regular-updates\/Bitwise_Crypto_Market_Compass_2025_40\/\">believes<\/a> the current situation may indicate the end of the downturn phase. Analysts noted that sellers appear &#8220;increasingly exhausted.&#8221;<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>&#8220;Last week, sentiment twice reached the &#8216;extreme fear&#8217; level, yet Bitcoin showed relative resilience, holding around $108,000. This level serves as strong support,&#8221; Bitwise stated.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Data from Glassnode supports this thesis. According to the service, short-term holders are currently realizing net losses. Historically, such capitulation periods have often laid the foundation for long-term rallies.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Bitcoin<\/a> short-term holder NUPL has rolled into loss territory, signaling stress among recent buyers. <br \/>STH capitulation events have historically marked periods of market reset, often laying groundwork for renewed accumulation.<br \/>\ud83d\udd17<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Jz7M1I1b7e\">https:\/\/t.co\/Jz7M1I1b7e<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/PKBlULo8hM\">pic.twitter.com\/PKBlULo8hM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 glassnode (@glassnode) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/glassnode\/status\/1972583819762139305?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 29, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">ETFs as the Main Catalyst<\/h2>\n<p>Ryan Lee, chief analyst at crypto exchange Bitget, described October as a &#8220;turning point&#8221; for the market in comments to ForkLog. He believes that decisions by the <span data-descr=\"U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission\" class=\"old_tooltip\">SEC<\/span> on spot <a href=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/news\/what-is-a-cryptocurrency-etf\">ETFs<\/a> will play a key role.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>&#8220;We view October as a turning point due to the Commission&#8217;s move towards unified listing standards for spot exchange-traded funds. This could shorten approval timelines and open a new stream of institutional capital,&#8221; Lee stated.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The expert predicted that digital gold could rise to between $100,000 and $130,000, and Ethereum to $3,600\u2013$5,500, should there be positive ETF news.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Traders Shift Focus to Altcoins<\/h2>\n<p>Meanwhile, another trend is emerging in the market. JA Maarturn noted that the share of altcoins in Binance&#8217;s futures trading volume reached a record high of 82.3%.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-05b116c15d5a519d-5619161615163512.webp\" alt=\"\u0421\u043d\u0438\u043c\u043e\u043a \u044d\u043a\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0430 2025-09-30 121656\" class=\"wp-image-266582\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/insights\/quicktake\/68dad65b4885f90809fc2851-Binance-Altcoin-Volume-Share-just-hit-an-all-time-high-823\">CryptoQuant<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>This figure even surpassed the peak levels of the 2021 altseason.<\/p>\n<p>This indicates a shift in traders&#8217; focus from the leading cryptocurrency to more volatile assets in anticipation of higher returns.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>QCP also <a href=\"https:\/\/www.qcpgroup.com\/insights\/asia-colour-160\/\">confirmed<\/a> the return of optimism to the perpetual futures market. Open interest in Bitcoin rose from $42.8 billion to $43.6 billion.<\/p>\n<p>However, QCP warned that for a sustainable upward trend to be confirmed, Bitcoin&#8217;s price must hold above the $115,000 level.<\/p>\n<p>Back in September, analysts at XWIN Research <a href=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/news\/analysts-diverge-on-bitcoin-forecasts\">reported<\/a> that the implied volatility of the leading cryptocurrency had fallen to its lowest level since 2023.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Fear and Greed Index fell to 28 points, marking its lowest level since March 2025. This decline coincided with a brief dip in Bitcoin below $110,000.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":89408,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"The Fear and Greed Index fell to 28 points, its lowest since March 2025.","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[18,1145,1138],"class_list":["post-89407","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-bitcoin","tag-market-analysis","tag-opinions"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"162","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"The Fear and Greed Index fell to 28 points, its lowest since March 2025.","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89407","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=89407"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89407\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":89409,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89407\/revisions\/89409"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/89408"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=89407"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=89407"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=89407"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}