{"id":89260,"date":"2025-09-25T15:18:09","date_gmt":"2025-09-25T12:18:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/?p=89260"},"modified":"2025-09-25T17:06:16","modified_gmt":"2025-09-25T14:06:16","slug":"qcp-warns-of-potential-bitcoin-drop-to-107000-and-ethereum-to-3300","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/qcp-warns-of-potential-bitcoin-drop-to-107000-and-ethereum-to-3300\/","title":{"rendered":"QCP Warns of Potential Bitcoin Drop to $107,000 and Ethereum to $3,300"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The cryptocurrency market remains under pressure: a continued correction could pave the way to recent lows of $107,000 for digital gold and $3,300 for ether, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.qcpgroup.com\/insights\/asia-colour-159\/\">analysts at QCP Capital<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cAmerican stocks sharply declined in the past session, while Chinese stocks showed relative resilience,\u201d the experts noted.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>However, they observed that institutional demand remains strong. Over the past day, net inflows into spot <a href=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/news\/what-is-a-cryptocurrency-etf\">Bitcoin ETFs<\/a> amounted to $241 million, breaking a two-day streak of outflows.\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"543\" src=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-fa0f9350e294c5bb-5195159690756950-1024x543.png\" alt=\"image\" class=\"wp-image-266353\" srcset=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-fa0f9350e294c5bb-5195159690756950-1024x543.png 1024w, https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-fa0f9350e294c5bb-5195159690756950-300x159.png 300w, https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-fa0f9350e294c5bb-5195159690756950-768x408.png 768w, https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/img-fa0f9350e294c5bb-5195159690756950.png 1187w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Dynamics of inflows into exchange-traded funds based on the first cryptocurrency. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/sosovalue.com\/assets\/etf\/us-btc-spot\">SoSoValue<\/a>.\u00a0<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cThe trend of buying at lows persists. In the options market, call contracts with a strike price of $118,000 dominate,\u201d the analysts emphasized.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>As the fourth quarter begins, historically considered more favorable, markets are experiencing moderate optimism due to lenient credit conditions.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cParticipants expect two rate cuts of 25 basis points each in October and December. If next week\u2019s non-farm payroll data does not exceed forecasts, this scenario will likely remain in place,\u201d concluded QCP Capital.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Adopts a Wait-and-See Approach<\/h2>\n<p>CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. noted that the <a href=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/news\/what-is-the-mvrv-indicator\">MVRV Z-Score<\/a> \u201chas dropped to the base zone.\u201d<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">MVRV Z-Score (365D) has dropped to the base zone and holds at \u22120.3 with a downward bias. <\/p>\n<p>This means that market capitalization is trading close to &#8220;fair&#8221; value relative to realized price adjusted for annual volatility: there is no overheating, valuation is\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/AH229s9L2e\">pic.twitter.com\/AH229s9L2e<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Axel \ud83d\udc8e\ud83d\ude4c Adler Jr (@AxelAdlerJr) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AxelAdlerJr\/status\/1971150395272466775?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 25, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>The metric holds at \u22120.3 \u201cwith a downward bias.\u201d<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cThis means that market capitalization is close to \u2018fair\u2019 value relative to the <span data-descr=\"average purchase price of all coins, calculated based on the last movement of each in the network\" class=\"old_tooltip\">realized price<\/span> considering annual volatility. There is no overheating, and the valuation appears neutral or moderately \u2018cheap\u2019 compared to last year,\u201d explained the specialist.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>In a conversation with The Block, BRN researcher Timothy Mizir noted that a \u201cDouble Bottom\u201d reversal pattern is visible on the Bitcoin chart, with a support level near $111,115.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s a market full of \u2018ifs,\u2019\u201d the specialist remarked. \u201cIf the pattern holds, if ETF flows stabilize, if ETH returns to its range.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>According to his observations, the nearest resistance is at $115,000. Meanwhile, on-chain metrics indicate a risk of prices falling into the $90,000-105,000 range.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Mizir described the $4,000 level for Ethereum as \u201cfragile\u201d\u2014if it fails, the price could retreat to $3,600-3,800.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>At the time of publication, the leading cryptocurrency is trading around $111,212 (-1.8% for the day), and ether is near $3,960 (-5.2%), according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coingecko.com\/\">CoinGecko<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>As reported by Glassnode, researchers <a href=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/news\/glassnode-observes-weakening-demand-for-bitcoin\">noted<\/a> a weakening demand for Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>They identified the cost basis of short-term holders ($111,400) as a key support level for digital gold.  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A continued correction could lead to recent lows of $107,000 for digital gold and $3,300 for ether, analysts at QCP Capital said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":89261,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"1","news_style_id":"1","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"Correction may lead Bitcoin to $107,000 and Ethereum to $3,300, say QCP Capital analysts.","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[18,46,1138],"class_list":["post-89260","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-bitcoin","tag-ethereum","tag-opinions"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"263","promo_type":"1","layout_type":"1","short_excerpt":"Correction may lead Bitcoin to $107,000 and Ethereum to $3,300, say QCP Capital analysts.","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89260","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=89260"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89260\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":89262,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89260\/revisions\/89262"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/89261"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=89260"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=89260"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=89260"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}