{"id":24967,"date":"2025-06-27T10:00:55","date_gmt":"2025-06-27T07:00:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/analyst-predicts-bitcoins-moderate-rise-to-160000\/"},"modified":"2025-06-27T10:00:55","modified_gmt":"2025-06-27T07:00:55","slug":"analyst-predicts-bitcoins-moderate-rise-to-160000","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/analyst-predicts-bitcoins-moderate-rise-to-160000\/","title":{"rendered":"Analyst Predicts Bitcoin&#8217;s &#8220;Moderate&#8221; Rise to $160,000"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. has issued a &#8220;conservative&#8221; forecast for the price of the leading cryptocurrency, predicting a rise to $160,000.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">During each of the three major rallies, long-term holders (LTH) consistently built up their positions before strong growth. <\/p>\n<p>The first time this happened was around $28K: the increase in LTH share relative to STH over 1-2 months set the stage for a breakout to $60K. <br \/>The second\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/2sKWpUlnO5\">pic.twitter.com\/2sKWpUlnO5<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Axel ?? Adler Jr (@AxelAdlerJr) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AxelAdlerJr\/status\/1938132569687531579?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 26, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>According to his observations, during the last three bullish phases, long-term holders (<span data-descr=\"Long-Term Holders\" class=\"old_tooltip\">LTH<\/span>) actively accumulated positions before the onset of strong growth.<\/p>\n<p>This was first observed at the $28,000 level, noted Adler Jr. At that time, the increase in the share of LTH compared to <span data-descr=\"Short-Term Holders\" class=\"old_tooltip\">STH<\/span> over 1-2 months preceded a surge in Bitcoin&#8217;s price to $60,000.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The second similar accumulation occurred at the $60,000 mark during a consolidation phase and served as a catalyst for the move to $100,000.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>\n<cite>&#8220;Currently, at the $100,000 mark, there is again a steady increase in the LTH\/STH ratio. This stage may last 4-8 weeks. After this, similar to past cycles, a sharp upward reversal is possible,&#8221; the expert explained.<\/cite><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>He added that &#8220;with a more restrained forecast&#8221; using a multiplier of 1.6, the target level for the next wave of growth is around $160,000.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">HODL!<\/h2>\n<p>Amidst the sideways market, analysts at Santiment noted a decline in retail investor sentiment.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">? With crypto moving sideways, retail optimism toward Bitcoin &#038; Ethereum has died down a bit. Meanwhile, XRP sentiment is currently at a 17-day high, in terms of positive vs. negative commentary. This has happened after a $50M settlement between Ripple &#038; the SEC was stalled. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/zJctKgEiPf\">pic.twitter.com\/zJctKgEiPf<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Santiment (@santimentfeed) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/santimentfeed\/status\/1938451359944118379?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 27, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, the volume of illiquid supply of digital gold has increased from 13.9 million BTC to 14.37 million BTC since the beginning of the year, according to Glassnode data.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2-1129-1024x576.png\" alt=\"2-1129\" class=\"wp-image-261114\" srcset=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2-1129-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2-1129-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2-1129-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2-1129-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2-1129.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Dynamics of illiquid supply volume. Data: Glassnode, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/markets\/2025\/06\/26\/bitcoin-illiquid-supply-climbs-to-over-14m-btc-reflects-strong-hodl-trend\">CoinDesk<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The number of coins in circulation <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coingecko.com\/en\/coins\/bitcoin\">is approximately 19,880,000<\/a>. Thus, the share of illiquid supply is about ~72%.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>This indicator represents the proportion of bitcoins held by participants with low on-chain activity. Primarily, these are long-term investors and cold wallet holders. Such coins are effectively removed from circulation, reducing the volume of assets available for trading and, consequently, potential selling pressure.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The trend towards increasing illiquid supply often reflects investor confidence in the future prospects of the leading cryptocurrency, as well as the popularity of the &#8220;safe haven&#8221; narrative and censorship-resistant store of value.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Earlier, CoinDesk analyst Omkar Godbole examined a &#8220;Bullish Flag&#8221; pattern on the chart, <a href=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/news\/a-break-above-109000-would-confirm-bitcoins-bull-flag-technicals-and-market-outlook\">indicating<\/a> a potential rise to $140,000 and beyond.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. has issued a &#8220;conservative&#8221; forecast for the price of the leading cryptocurrency, predicting a rise to $160,000.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":24966,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"","news_style_id":"","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[480,1146,1268],"class_list":["post-24967","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-bitcoin-price","tag-cryptocurrency-market-forecasts","tag-on-chain-analysis"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"41","promo_type":"","layout_type":"","short_excerpt":"","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24967","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24967"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24967\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24966"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24967"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24967"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24967"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}