{"id":24054,"date":"2025-05-16T14:06:08","date_gmt":"2025-05-16T11:06:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/analyst-sees-bitcoin-at-220000-in-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-05-16T14:06:08","modified_gmt":"2025-05-16T11:06:08","slug":"analyst-sees-bitcoin-at-220000-in-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/analyst-sees-bitcoin-at-220000-in-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Analyst sees bitcoin at $220,000 in 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-block-text-wrappers-keypoints article_keypoints\">\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Bitcoin to rise to $220,000 based on a power-law model and a comparison with gold.<\/li>\n<li>For the advance to continue, the liquidity cluster in the $105,000\u2013$110,000 band must be cleared; support sits around $98,000\u2013$100,000.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p>By year-end, bitcoin could reach $220,000 or higher if its correlation with gold persists, according to a user going by Apsk32.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Watch this before you tell me the four-year cycle is dead. <\/p>\n<p>Expecting $200,000+ Bitcoin in Q4.<br \/>Gold suggests we could go significantly higher. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/DB9gm3NNdy\">pic.twitter.com\/DB9gm3NNdy<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 apsk32 (@apsk32) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/apsk32\/status\/1915423456054960549?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 24, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>The forecast is based on valuing bitcoin in ounces of the precious metal and projecting it via<a href=\"https:\/\/ru.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/%D0%A1%D1%82%D0%B5%D0%BF%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%BD%D0%B0%D1%8F_%D1%84%D1%83%D0%BD%D0%BA%D1%86%D0%B8%D1%8F\"> a power function<\/a>, taking the asset\u2019s cyclicality into account.<\/p>\n<p>He argues that dollar pricing distorts real value because fiat currency is inflationary. The idea is that gold\u2019s price should compensate for the USD\u2019s real decline.<\/p>\n<p>According to Apsk32\u2019s calculations, bitcoin\u2019s current market capitalisation equals 643.02 million ounces.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/1-1562-1024x1024.png\" alt=\"1-1562\" class=\"wp-image-258842\" srcset=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/1-1562-1024x1024.png 1024w, https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/1-1562-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/1-1562-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/1-1562-768x768.png 768w, https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/1-1562-1536x1536.png 1536w, https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/1-1562-2048x2048.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Data: X.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Historically, BTC\/USD has followed <span data-descr=\"gold\" class=\"old_tooltip\">XAU<\/span>\/USD with a lag of several months, the expert noted. Gold\u2019s recent rise to a record $3,500 sets a \u201cvery rosy\u201d backdrop for the cryptocurrency.<\/p>\n<p>Modelled values in the power function align with bitcoin\u2019s 2017 peak at $20,000. Year-end calculations point to $444,000, but the analyst considers it \u201cmore reasonable\u201d to prepare for $220,000.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2-1101-1024x576.png\" alt=\"2-1101\" class=\"wp-image-258843\" style=\"width:842px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2-1101-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2-1101-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2-1101-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2-1101-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2-1101-2048x1152.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Data: X.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>\u201cAbove $250,000 will be above expectations,\u201d<\/em> the specialist commented.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Analyst Sam Callahan proposed valuing bitcoin by the ratio of its market capitalisation to gold\u2019s. His matrix showed a rise to $924,000 by 2030 if that ratio reaches 50% and the metal trades at $5,000.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Came across this great valuation matrix in the new In Gold We Trust report showing where Bitcoin\u2019s price could go if it captures different percentages of gold\u2019s future market cap.<\/p>\n<p>If gold hits $5,000\/oz by 2030 and Bitcoin captures 50% of its market cap, that puts BTC at $924K. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/pltfGJNX7O\">pic.twitter.com\/pltfGJNX7O<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Sam Callahan (@samcallah) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/samcallah\/status\/1923063546398597449?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 15, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Near-term levels<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Specialists at Material Indicators attributed bitcoin\u2019s pause near <a href=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/news\/bitcoin-tests-105000-amid-us-china-trade-deal\">$105,000<\/a> to large liquidity clusters from that mark up to $110,000.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Unless we have a serious catalyst, I\u2019m not expecting to see a sustainable breakout to ATH territory until BTC has a legit support test at $100k, and FireCharts shows that the order book is priming for that with asks stacking and bids moving lower.<\/p>\n<p>Of course we also have a Golden\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/qIQdletCiE\">pic.twitter.com\/qIQdletCiE<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Material Indicators (@MI_Algos) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MI_Algos\/status\/1923146128939417713?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 15, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>\n<cite>\u201cIf we don\u2019t have a serious catalyst, we do not expect a sustainable breakout to <span data-descr=\"all-time high\" class=\"old_tooltip\">ATH<\/span> until the price tests $100,000,\u201d the message said.<\/cite><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Analyst and MN Trading founder Micha\u00ebl van de Poppe highlighted key support at $98,000.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The view remains unchanged on <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Bitcoin<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>As long as it stays above $98K, we&#8217;ll be fine for further continuation upwards. <\/p>\n<p>Last consolidation before we&#8217;ll break ATHs and start having fun. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/l9mQSvPrcq\">pic.twitter.com\/l9mQSvPrcq<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Micha\u00ebl van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CryptoMichNL\/status\/1923280827632283653?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 16, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>\u201cThis is a critical area [\u2026] for the continuation of the uptrend. The last consolidation before we break out and start having fun,\u201d<\/em> he added.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Earlier, experts <a href=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/news\/why-bitcoin-is-consolidating-after-testing-105000\">pointed<\/a> to the reasons for bitcoin\u2019s shift to consolidation after testing $105,000.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier, Blockstream\u2019s co-founder called digital gold undervalued and predicted it would rise<a href=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/news\/adam-back-predicts-bitcoin-surge-to-1-million-calls-it-undervalued\"> to $1 million<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Standard Chartered urged buying the cryptocurrency and forecast a rise <a href=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/news\/standard-chartered-urges-bitcoin-investment\">to $120,000<\/a> in the second quarter.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin to rise to $220,000 based on a power-law model and a comparison with gold. For the advance to continue, the liquidity cluster in the $105,000\u2013$110,000 band must be cleared; support sits around $98,000\u2013$100,000. By year-end, bitcoin could reach $220,000 or higher if its correlation with gold persists, according to a user going by Apsk32. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":24053,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"","news_style_id":"","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[1146,536,1150,167],"class_list":["post-24054","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-cryptocurrency-market-forecasts","tag-gold","tag-news-plus","tag-research"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"72","promo_type":"","layout_type":"","short_excerpt":"","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24054","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24054"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24054\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24053"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24054"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24054"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24054"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}