{"id":22433,"date":"2025-03-26T13:40:43","date_gmt":"2025-03-26T11:40:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/bitcoins-rebound-may-be-a-bull-trap-experts-warn\/"},"modified":"2025-03-26T13:40:43","modified_gmt":"2025-03-26T11:40:43","slug":"bitcoins-rebound-may-be-a-bull-trap-experts-warn","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/bitcoins-rebound-may-be-a-bull-trap-experts-warn\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin&#8217;s Rebound May Be a &#8216;Bull Trap&#8217;, Experts Warn"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The recent recovery of Bitcoin&#8217;s price to a two-week high may prove short-lived amid overall market uncertainty, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-03-26\/bitcoin-btc-rebound-faces-risk-of-bull-trap-amid-macro-uncertainty\">Bloomberg<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The lack of upward momentum, low trading volumes, and macroeconomic tensions create conditions for a &#8216;bull trap&#8217;, experts consulted by the agency believe.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>&#8220;Investors need to be cautious in this environment: the market remains fragile and easily manipulated. Retail activity is low, volumes are small, and even the so-called &#8216;smart money&#8217; stays on the sidelines. Those with the real power to move the market are not doing so \u2014 and there are good reasons for that,&#8221; noted Kirill Kretov from CoinPanel.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Investor sentiment is reflected in the funding rate of perpetual Bitcoin futures. In a bull market, the metric is positive, but even after <a href=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/news\/bitcoin-holds-above-87000\">the cryptocurrency&#8217;s rebound above $87,000<\/a>, the values remain in the negative zone. This indicates that traders are unwilling to pay a premium for opening long positions.<\/p>\n<p>Another sign of market uncertainty is the borrowing cost of stablecoins like USDT from Tether and USDC from Circle. On the lending platform Aave, rates have dropped to around 4%.<\/p>\n<p>According to Strahinja Savic, Head of Data and Analytics at FRNT Financial, this reflects a decrease in appetite for leverage and other strategies requiring credit.<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, seasoned Bitcoin holders continue to maintain their positions in hopes of higher prices for exit. According to Kretov, this creates a &#8216;dead weight&#8217; on the market, making it less susceptible to volatility. Price fluctuations may &#8216;wash out&#8217; retail investors, but for major players to open new positions, a &#8216;real crash&#8217; is needed, where even long-term cryptocurrency holders capitulate.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>&#8220;Until that happens, rallies even after uncertainty is lifted pose a danger. They can draw in hasty long positions only to sharply reverse \u2014 a classic bull trap in low liquidity conditions,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>SignalPlus partner Augustin Fan believes that all eyes are currently on US President Donald Trump&#8217;s plans to introduce trade tariffs on April 2. In anticipation of this potential catalyst, a gradual recovery is expected to continue until the end of the month, he suggested.<\/p>\n<p>The cryptocurrency fear and greed index has risen from 32 to 47 since last week, moving into the neutral zone.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Crypto-Fear-Greed-Index-Bitcoin-Sentiment-Alternative.me-Google-Chrome-3.webp\" alt=\"Crypto-Fear-Greed-Index-Bitcoin-Sentiment-Alternative.me-Google-Chrome-3\" class=\"wp-image-254992\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Data: Alternative.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Analysts at QCP Capital <a href=\"https:\/\/www.qcpgroup.com\/insights\/asia-colour-93\/\">noted<\/a> &#8220;cautious optimism&#8221; driven by the resumption of <a href=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/news\/bitcoin-etf-inflows-continue-for-seventh-consecutive-day\">inflows<\/a> into spot Bitcoin ETFs. The potential increase in trade tariffs on April 2 could pressure risk assets, raising concerns about the near-term prospects of the crypto market, they added.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the company specialists pointed to an unexpected potential driver for Bitcoin prices \u2014 GameStop <a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/forklog\/43223\">decided to convert<\/a> part of its cash reserves into digital gold. Given the company&#8217;s &#8216;meme&#8217; status among retail investors, this could spark speculative interest in cryptocurrency, experts believe.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-conversation=\"none\" data-lang=\"en\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">4\/ Gamestop ( <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24GME&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$GME<\/a> ) just added <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&#038;src=ctag&#038;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> to its treasury.<\/p>\n<p>Not the first corporate to do so, but its meme status could reignite retail speculation. Remember 2021? Retail coordination has the power to challenge institutions.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 QCP (@QCPgroup) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/QCPgroup\/status\/1904824381047791930?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 26, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>CryptoQuant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju earlier <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ki_young_ju\/status\/1902258467337023717\">stated<\/a> that individual investors are unlikely to enter the market, as most have already invested in Bitcoin through exchange-traded funds.<\/p>\n<p>As reported in previous analyses, Santiment analysts concluded that many community members are <a href=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/news\/santiment-analysts-predict-continued-bitcoin-rally\">confident in the continued growth<\/a> of the cryptocurrency market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The recent recovery of Bitcoin&#8217;s price to a two-week high may prove short-lived amid overall market uncertainty, according to Bloomberg. The lack of upward momentum, low trading volumes, and macroeconomic tensions create conditions for a &#8216;bull trap&#8217;, experts consulted by the agency believe. &#8220;Investors need to be cautious in this environment: the market remains fragile [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":22432,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"","news_style_id":"","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[1146,1138],"class_list":["post-22433","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis","tag-cryptocurrency-market-forecasts","tag-opinions"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"42","promo_type":"","layout_type":"","short_excerpt":"","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22433","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22433"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22433\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22432"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22433"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22433"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22433"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}