{"id":17002,"date":"2024-09-16T16:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-09-16T13:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/no-place-for-institutions-what-bitcoin-etfs-have-really-done-for-crypto\/"},"modified":"2024-09-16T16:00:00","modified_gmt":"2024-09-16T13:00:00","slug":"no-place-for-institutions-what-bitcoin-etfs-have-really-done-for-crypto","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/no-place-for-institutions-what-bitcoin-etfs-have-really-done-for-crypto\/","title":{"rendered":"No place for institutions: what bitcoin ETFs have really done for crypto"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>After the <a href=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/news\/sec-approves-all-11-spot-bitcoin-etf-applications\">approval<\/a> of bitcoin ETFs in the US, many in crypto expected a flood of institutional money. Yet nine months on, the numbers suggest their presence has been minimal.<\/p>\n<p>Oleg Cash Coin examined what bitcoin ETFs have really contributed as an investment vehicle.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The ETF myth<\/h2>\n<p>The first exchange-traded funds based on bitcoin appeared no later than 2015. For almost a decade, institutional investors could easily buy not only bitcoin but also invest in various exchange-traded products based on it outside the US. The most farsighted organisations did just that.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh7-qw.googleusercontent.com\/docsz\/AD_4nXcPtoLxHesDQs67pK-uwmwcLfY22SqgK6O8LI6hfnTTkXijxLt3CFWSkMQesGKocu4OArnwagalld7fKH5tLclroWV3Vh6v67y-uXZntlUk1SGNhC-6EZLds9DIsfO77kU5NZDW5CIZgDWFd3nqsff-AG2k?key=IiHcuW3_GINlBs75QGqDZw\" alt=\"No place for institutions: what bitcoin ETFs have really done for crypto\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">BTC held by exchange-traded funds since 2015. Data: <a href=\"https:\/\/bold.report\/bitcoin\/holdings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Bold<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>By the time US ETF trading launched, such funds had amassed around 850,000 BTC. As of 13 September 2024, their combined holdings had reached roughly 1,050,000 BTC.<\/p>\n<p>Net inflows thus amounted to 200,000 BTC. Moreover, US ETFs are populated largely by retail investors rather than companies and financial institutions.<\/p>\n<p>This is evidenced by statistics <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/biancoresearch\/status\/1832806823994540455\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">shared<\/a> by analyst Jim Bianco. According to the data he cited, 85% of investors in the segment are not institutions.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>&#8220;Who is buying these funds? Answer: small &#8216;tourist&#8217; online retail,&#8221; Bianco concluded.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Even more telling, average trade sizes in spot ETFs sit in a modest range from $11,000 to $16,000, and the participating traders are losing money.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh7-qw.googleusercontent.com\/docsz\/AD_4nXeCiWTZBIxQX5mJA5_h_puOpS-raH0tUeIRv39frDcrVEIEZE1HY-HchXFao4WB40GledjQ86er3RUtMsgwIsRYREkGtXoxePrBWYBvT-2VA7ZZ5l48Ee0YxYu9O6moYAgL6cxccSXpWT_LTBjRCyR3Rv0L?key=IiHcuW3_GINlBs75QGqDZw\" alt=\"No place for institutions: what bitcoin ETFs have really done for crypto\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Data: Bianco Research \/ X.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>An unflattering conclusion follows: institutions remain largely absent from crypto. The new money has come from retail investors, who could just as well have bought bitcoin on any exchange.<\/p>\n<p>Media coverage of ETFs and, for example, numerous <a href=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/news\/blackrock-ceo-surprised-by-bitcoin-etf-hype\">appearances<\/a> by BlackRock chief Larry Fink may have helped some investors decide.<\/p>\n<p>It is worth noting that the company trades 438 innovative ETFs on US markets. According to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.etf.com\/topics\/blackrock\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">ETF.com<\/a>, it manages about $3.037trn. Yet BlackRock\u2019s bitcoin ETF holds only $21bn, just 0.69% of the firm\u2019s ETF assets.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What matters more than ETFs<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin does not need ETFs for global adoption simply because it has already happened.<\/p>\n<p>More than a year ago, the bitcoin network saw a sharp jump in daily transactions. Since April 2023 the figure has nearly doubled\u2014to 300,000\u2013600,000 operations per day.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh7-qw.googleusercontent.com\/docsz\/AD_4nXcyCPsJLRTll14sZYE-1njIlFMAxzfqBUBcpmHSGi3s3l97IPBk4hLVyCznmCIPQQcZDX51DinI5-heH5qAuqPtBU1PhLuXrpm4jJpskKI-t0eX1YW9KoFqCI-Iwxm0F4LBfgxkG0Mwv8z0q5l1buju8go5?key=IiHcuW3_GINlBs75QGqDZw\" alt=\"No place for institutions: what bitcoin ETFs have really done for crypto\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Data: <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinvisuals.com\/\">Bitcoin Visuals<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>At the same time, average throughput increased from three to five\u2013eight transactions per second. This suggests that, despite bitcoin\u2019s supposed sluggishness, it has been used in earnest for almost two years straight, without regard to market conditions.<\/p>\n<p>The rise in activity coincided with improvements in Ethereum\u2019s scalability and its layer-two solutions, as well as the launch of many more flexible blockchain projects.<\/p>\n<p>Despite bitcoin lacking widely adopted smart contracts, DeFi and other fashionable technological narratives, we are seeing growth in fundamental metrics\u2014uncorrelated with the <a href=\"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/news\/altseason-in-short-never\">altcoins<\/a> market, hype around airdrops, meme coins and traditional financial instruments such as ETFs.<\/p>\n<p>This may point to a very different level of adoption for the first cryptocurrency compared with the rest of the blockchain sector.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">HODL<\/h2>\n<p>The growth in activity and use of the bitcoin blockchain coincided with another important metric: the share of coins not moving on-chain. According to HODL waves, more than 65.6% of digital gold has remained unmoved for over a year.<\/p>\n<p>At the moment ETFs were approved, the figure was 70.3%, which means about 4.7% of long-term investors have moved their bitcoins since then\u2014that is, more than 928,000 BTC changed hands.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh7-qw.googleusercontent.com\/docsz\/AD_4nXf6gjYs5OFEBXxM1onhTnj4PRXrZMHYm9wgSOw6dZqNC22D-ujkZ3Ex-cNHTPQgOlSEAbA2Ry7flfEAoj2Hjq4yvehuIRRQqUhaaxDzlQG1mjBa3aTrNvO6lG3dDq1tBiodb91I5zj1DI1pJynrjpfRmJmr?key=IiHcuW3_GINlBs75QGqDZw\" alt=\"No place for institutions: what bitcoin ETFs have really done for crypto\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Data: <a href=\"https:\/\/glassnode.com\/\">Glassnode<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>These figures align with the total amount of digital gold held in US funds\u2019 accounts. According to the <a href=\"https:\/\/bitbo.io\/ru\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Bitbo<\/a> service, they currently hold just over 900,000 BTC.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Conclusions<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Most of the bitcoin held by global funds before the US approval of ETFs flowed into American funds from early January 2024, as shown by the HODL waves.<\/p>\n<p>Thus, the approval of ETFs did not materially change HODLers\u2019 behaviour. Funds that had accumulated BTC before 2024 simply moved coins to the addresses of other funds after the <span data-descr=\"U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission\" class=\"old_tooltip\">SEC<\/span> approval.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After the approval of bitcoin ETFs in the US, many in crypto expected a flood of institutional money. Yet nine months on, the numbers suggest their presence has been minimal. Oleg Cash Coin examined what bitcoin ETFs have really contributed as an investment vehicle. The ETF myth The first exchange-traded funds based on bitcoin appeared [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":17001,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"select":"","news_style_id":"","cryptorium_level":"","_short_excerpt_text":"","creation_source":"","_metatest_mainpost_news_update":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1144],"tags":[18,569,1156],"class_list":["post-17002","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-longreads","tag-bitcoin","tag-etf","tag-institutional-investors-and-whales"],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"views":"29","promo_type":"","layout_type":"","short_excerpt":"","is_update":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17002","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17002"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17002\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17001"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17002"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17002"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/u1f987.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17002"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}